The trend to a warmer world is now incontrovertible … 2010 is on course to be the warmest year since records began in 1880
by John Vidal
Guardian, July 16, 2010
Last month was the hottest June ever recorded worldwide and the fourth consecutive month that the combined global land and sea temperature records have been broken, according to the US government’s climate data centre.
The figures released last night by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) suggest that 2010 is now on course to be the warmest year since records began in 1880.
The trend to a warmer world is now incontrovertible. According to NOAA, June was the 304th consecutive month with a combined global land and surface temperature above the 20th-century average. The last month with below-average temperatures was February 1985. Each of the 10 warmest average global temperatures recorded since 1880 have occurred in the last 15 years with the previous warmest first half of a year in 1998.
Temperature anomalies included Spain, which experienced its coolest June temperature since 1997, and Guizhou in southern China, which had its coolest June on record. According to Beijing Climate Center, Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, and Jilin experienced their warmest June since their records began in 1951.
Scientists expressed surprise that the June land surface temperature exceeded the previous record by 0.11C (0.20F). “This large difference over land contributed strongly to the overall global land and ocean temperature anomaly,” said John Leslie, a spokesman for NOAA.
Separate satellite data from the US National Snow and Ice Data Center shows that the extent of sea ice in the Arctic was at its lowest for any June since satellite records started in 1979. The icy skin over the Arctic Ocean grows each winter and shrinks in summer, reaching its yearly low point in September. The monthly average for June 2010 was 10.87 km sq. The ice was declining an average of 88,000 sq km per day in June.
In a further sign of a warming world, the Jakobshavn Isbrae glacier, one of the largest in Greenland, lost a 2.7-square mile chunk of ice between 6-7 July – one of the largest single losses to a glacier ever recorded.
Sadly, the figures cited here add more confirmation (to the mountain of evidence already) to the fact that we, the human species, are now in a race against time to stop possible run-away climate change. I’m sure visitors to this site are already aware of the facts, but just to recap two important ones: if summer temperatures in the northern hemisphere reach a level high enough to start melting the tundra permafrost in Siberia, Canada, and Alaska–and there is already evidence this has started–then huge amounts of methane, a much more potent greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, could be released into the atmosphere (and accelerate global warming). Likewise, that polar sea ice (with it’s high albedo) that is no longer around in the summers in the Arctic Ocean, because of increased melting from higher temperatures (as noted here), also means much less reflection of the sun’s shortwave radiation, which then penetrates the earth’s atmosphere to ultimately heat it up even more. Either one of these dangerous feedback mechanisms (and there are others) could, of course, push us into a situation of run-away warming where whatever we do will have no effect on the global climate system. That would be the ultimate tragedy of our time (and possibly of our species…) For a well-researched, sober look at the near-future consequences that could result from climate change, see Gwynne Dyer’s new book, Climate Wars. Or, see his interview on Democracy Now! at:
http://www.democracynow.org/2010/7/8/gwynne_dyer_on_climate_wars_the