Kyoto’s “Clean Development Mechanism,” which was supposed to reduce emissions, is subsidising the fossil fuel industry. The construction of such new coal-dependent energy infrastructure is locking us into decades more of massive greenhouse gas emissions.
by Kevin Smith
Carbon Trade Watch
In 2007, the UN decided to allow more efficient coal-fired power stations to gain carbon financing as an offset project through the Clean Development Mechanism.
Had it been apparent just over 10 years ago, when the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) was being ushered in, that the mechanism would ultimately be used to provide enormous financial subsidies the corporate owners of coal-fired power plants, it would have faced a lot more opposition than it did.
Allowing such plants to earn carbon credits will do nothing for development, will help subsidise some of Asia’s most reprehensible companies, and is unlikely to encourage more efficient technologies. Most seriously, it undermines the very effort to move away from the filthiest fossil fuel – both in Asia and the global North.
Over the last few years, the underlying definition of what constitutes ‘clean development’ (a supposed prerequisite for qualifying as a CDM project) has been stealthily widened to the point of meaninglessness. Who will receive the ‘development’ benefits from marginally more efficient coal-fired plants? Will the quarter of the world’s population without access to electricity receive that electricity any cheaper as a result of super-critical coal plants receiving carbon financing? Or will this money simply be swallowed up in the already quite substantial profit margins of the capital-intensive industries receiving it?
India’s Tata Power is building one of the world’s largest coal-fired plants in Gujarat, which, when it comes operational, will pump out 23.4 million tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) a year. The International Finance Corporation, which is helping to finance the plant, claims that it would emit 3.6 million tonnes less of CO2 each year than any other subcritical coal plant in India. If it was able to sell those reductions at current market prices, it could earn around €70 million/year. In the 2007/2008 financial year, Tata Power’s net profits were up 25%, reaching $184 million. This is clearly not an economically struggling company that needs additional revenue streams to upgrade and improve its technological efficiency.
In addition, the wider Tata group has an appalling environmental and human rights record across the Indian sub-continent – with controversy currently raging around its Tata Nano factory in West Bengal, where six farmers committed suicide, allegedly after their land was acquired for the plant. In July 2006, when the company tried to build a steel factory in Orissa, police fired on the local people protesting against the plant, leaving 12 dead.
Moreover, some commentators argue that carbon finance is not necessary to encourage the uptake of super-critical technology – at a time when concerns are rising over ‘non-additional’ (business-as-usual) projects qualifying under the CDM. The rising cost of coal means that both the public and private sectors in countries like India and China have been moving towards its adoption.
If this super-critical technology is being adopted anyway, then there is the potential for another slew of ‘business as usual’ projects being tarted up to qualify under the CDM and garner extra cash. Supposedly stringent measures to ensure additionality have so far failed to prevent the large numbers of hydro-projects in China that have been shown to have been going ahead regardless of the carbon financing.
In addition, the carbon market has proven to be grossly ineffective at implementing such energy efficiency measures – which should instead be a matter of regulatory intervention. However, the large sums of money that the likes of Tata stand to gain through the carbon market will act as a perverse incentive, discouraging local governments from bringing about such regulation as it would mean an end to domestic projects qualifying for CDM money.
Carbon finance being used to subsidise the fossil fuel industry is possibly the illogical logical conclusion of the carbon market. The construction of such new coal-dependent energy infrastructure is locking us into decades more of massive greenhouse gas emissions. The fact that institutions such as the International Energy Agency project ongoing fossil fuel dependency for decades to come does not mean that this is a given – the whole point of attempting to consciously bring about a transition to a global low-carbon society means that we shouldn’t be beholden to such projections – let alone be paving the way for them to become self-fulfilling. We should be deciding what is necessary for our future energy needs and ‘backcasting’ from there, rather than accept the inevitability of a fossil fuel future.
The inclusion of marginally more efficient coal-fired power stations within the CDM is taking place in the context of many industrialised countries and companies struggling to reach their compliance targets, and of a bottleneck within the CDM pipeline where, for a variety of reasons, projects are not being pumped out at the rate at which developers had hoped. Widening the CDM to fossil fuel projects is not about providing clean development, and it’s certainly not about dealing with climate change – it is about maintaining a steady flow of carbon credits to industrial sectors in the industrialised North who are failing to make adequate emissions reductions.
The irony is that, with power companies such as E.ON likely to need large amounts of carbon credits in the future to offset the potential emissions from their planned new coal-fired plants across Europe, there is a very real possibility that the CDM will be used in different ways in both hemispheres to prolong the shelf life, for many decades to come, of the dirtiest, most emissions intensive fossil fuel there is.
From Environmental Finance magazine, October 2008. Kevin Smith is the London-based researcher of Carbon Trade Watch (www,carbontradewatch.org), a project of the Transnational Institute. E-mail: kevin@carbontradewatch.org
Totally agree with all points, of course. And sorry for referring to you as Angus instead of Ian. I’m bad w/ names even when they’re right in front of me.
Andrew: Thank you very much for this. Getting accurate statistics on any of these matters is difficult, and choosing which number to use is even more difficult. As I recall (I don’t have my notes handy) I didn’t have 2007 numbers when i wrote the article, but that’s not the important point.
The difference is between total gasoline sales (which I quoted) and gasoline sales per capita (which you have calculated).
We’re actually both correct — total gas sales rose 4%, sales per person declined modestly. So the question is which number most accurately describes the situation.
If our concern is with TOTAL emissions, then total gas sales is the key metric — more gas, more emissions.
If our concern is with emissions INTENSITY (as the Harper government insists on) then gas per capita is key.
I prefer the former number because our goal has to be to slash emissions ABSOLUTELY, not just relative to population.
The gas tax people claim that their approach will reduce total emissions. My point was that a much greater price increase than theirs did not reduce emissions at all. If the only result of a 40% price increase was a very modest per capita usage reduction, then the BC carbon tax is unlikely to have any measurable per capita impact, let alone reduce total usage and emissions.
However, I agree that including the population figure gives a more rounded picture — if only because it shows clearly that emissions intensity can decline while total emissions go up.
Great admirer of your writing and this site, Angus. I’ve learned much from your writing.
I have a question (a point of clarification) unrelated to this post. It’s with respect to your “How to Avoid Action on Climate Change” pamphlet. In the section on BC’s carbon tax you note:
“[T]he average retail price of gas in Canada, adjusted for inflation, has risen forty percent in the past five years… But consumption did not decline. In fact, during the same period both gasoline sales and green-house gas emissions have risen to record levels.”
There’s no footnote for this information, and so when I found myself parroting it to a liberal environmentalist friend (who favors the BC gas tax), and he told me I was wrong, I looked into it. Looks like, to my chagrin, he was correct and your information is mistaken.
Here’s the Stats Can’s breakdown of gasoline consumption in Canada, up to 2007:
http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/trade37c.htm
And here’s population figures for those years:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_population_of_Canada_by_years#2000s
These figures indicate a (roughly) 5% rate of population growth from 2003 to 2007, but only a (roughly) 4% increase in gasoline sales (by litre).
Of course the 40% increase in five years against the paltry $0.025/litre tax is rather instructive.